@ Missouri: 12-5 (2-2): RPI 34: Recent close losses vs Florida and @ Arkansas. Won @ South Carolina vs UGA. and They’re best game is probably a 3 point loss to West Virginia. Tough but winnable game on the road. TOSS UP
@ South Carolina: 11-6 (2-3): RPI 55: Despite being a Final Four Team last year, they’ve lost a ton, and this is one we should win. They haven’t beaten any good team thus far this season. PROBABLE WIN
vs Vanderbilt: 6-11 (1-4): RPI 153: By far the easiest game on the schedule. They have the ability to get hot from outside, but there’s no excuse to lose this one at home. PROBABLE WIN
@ Iowa St: 10-6 (1-4): RPI 106: Never easy to win on the road vs a BIG 12 team, but this is one of the 2-3 worst teams in that conference. Need to get this one. PROBABLE WIN
vs LSU: 11-5 (2-2): RPI 66: Solid team (even in the road) with good wins @ Arkansas and @ A&M.
They’ve also had some really bad losses (Stephen F. Austin, Marquette, and Notre Dame (by 40). Can’t look past this team, but as long as we show up, we should be okay at home. PROBABLE WIN
vs Ole Miss: 10-7 (3-2): RPI 91: Picked up a big win yesterday against Florida, but otherwise they haven’t beaten anyone very impressive. Some ugly losses to South Dakota St, MTSU, and Illinois St. They’re capable, but we should get this one at home. PROBABLE WIN
@ Kentucky: 14-3 (4-1): RPI 10: Toughest game remaining on the schedule. They have tons of talent, and I don’t need to tell anyone about the refs in a game at Rupp. We’ve obviously shown we can beat them, but they’re probably favored. UNDERDOG
@ Alabama: 11-6 (3-2): RPI 40: This is a tough one to follow up after the UK game. To be fair, they had a much easier slate to begin the SEC than we did, and they’ve lost to a bad Vandy and Minnesota team. Playing is Tuscaloosa has always been a struggle for the Vols, though. TOSS UP
vs South Carolina: See above. PROBABLE WIN
@ Georgia: 11-5 (2-3): RPI 57: Sort if similar to the game at Bama. Athens isn’t an easy place to play. UGA lost to some mediocre team (SDSU, UMass) early, but have some solid wins (GT, Ole Miss, Bama) recently. We’ll be favored, but this is no gimmie. TOSS UP
vs Florida: 12-5 (4-1): RPI 39: Florida, like Kentucky, has tons of talent. They played a tough OoC schedule with mixed results (wins against Gonzaga and Stanford; losses against Clemson, Duke, and FSU). They’ve had a pretty easy SEC slate thus far, so we’ll know more about them by then. Glad it’s in TBA. TOSS UP
@ Ole Miss: See above. Tougher game on the road, but we’re still the better team. PROBABLE WIN
@ Mississippi State: 13-4 (1-3): RPI 76: The bulldogs piled up wins in an absurdly weak OoC schedule. They’re only remotely decent game was a loss against Cincinnati. They’ve come down to earth since beginning league play, and I think they’re a pretty poor team. Starkville can be tough, but....PROBABLE WIN
vs UGA: See above, but moving the game from Athens to TBA gives us a bigger edge than the earlier matchup. PROBABLE WIN
SUMMARY: We’re sitting at 12-4 (3-2) with an RPI of 13. We have 14 games remaining in the regular season. I have nine of those games as probable wins. You’re going to drop some, so I think the goal is to go 7-2 in the games here. That leaves 5 games that are toss ups or maybe a slight underdog. If you can win 2 of these, that puts you at 9-5 in the remaining 14 games.
PREDICTION: 21-9 (11-7)
@ South Carolina: 11-6 (2-3): RPI 55: Despite being a Final Four Team last year, they’ve lost a ton, and this is one we should win. They haven’t beaten any good team thus far this season. PROBABLE WIN
vs Vanderbilt: 6-11 (1-4): RPI 153: By far the easiest game on the schedule. They have the ability to get hot from outside, but there’s no excuse to lose this one at home. PROBABLE WIN
@ Iowa St: 10-6 (1-4): RPI 106: Never easy to win on the road vs a BIG 12 team, but this is one of the 2-3 worst teams in that conference. Need to get this one. PROBABLE WIN
vs LSU: 11-5 (2-2): RPI 66: Solid team (even in the road) with good wins @ Arkansas and @ A&M.
They’ve also had some really bad losses (Stephen F. Austin, Marquette, and Notre Dame (by 40). Can’t look past this team, but as long as we show up, we should be okay at home. PROBABLE WIN
vs Ole Miss: 10-7 (3-2): RPI 91: Picked up a big win yesterday against Florida, but otherwise they haven’t beaten anyone very impressive. Some ugly losses to South Dakota St, MTSU, and Illinois St. They’re capable, but we should get this one at home. PROBABLE WIN
@ Kentucky: 14-3 (4-1): RPI 10: Toughest game remaining on the schedule. They have tons of talent, and I don’t need to tell anyone about the refs in a game at Rupp. We’ve obviously shown we can beat them, but they’re probably favored. UNDERDOG
@ Alabama: 11-6 (3-2): RPI 40: This is a tough one to follow up after the UK game. To be fair, they had a much easier slate to begin the SEC than we did, and they’ve lost to a bad Vandy and Minnesota team. Playing is Tuscaloosa has always been a struggle for the Vols, though. TOSS UP
vs South Carolina: See above. PROBABLE WIN
@ Georgia: 11-5 (2-3): RPI 57: Sort if similar to the game at Bama. Athens isn’t an easy place to play. UGA lost to some mediocre team (SDSU, UMass) early, but have some solid wins (GT, Ole Miss, Bama) recently. We’ll be favored, but this is no gimmie. TOSS UP
vs Florida: 12-5 (4-1): RPI 39: Florida, like Kentucky, has tons of talent. They played a tough OoC schedule with mixed results (wins against Gonzaga and Stanford; losses against Clemson, Duke, and FSU). They’ve had a pretty easy SEC slate thus far, so we’ll know more about them by then. Glad it’s in TBA. TOSS UP
@ Ole Miss: See above. Tougher game on the road, but we’re still the better team. PROBABLE WIN
@ Mississippi State: 13-4 (1-3): RPI 76: The bulldogs piled up wins in an absurdly weak OoC schedule. They’re only remotely decent game was a loss against Cincinnati. They’ve come down to earth since beginning league play, and I think they’re a pretty poor team. Starkville can be tough, but....PROBABLE WIN
vs UGA: See above, but moving the game from Athens to TBA gives us a bigger edge than the earlier matchup. PROBABLE WIN
SUMMARY: We’re sitting at 12-4 (3-2) with an RPI of 13. We have 14 games remaining in the regular season. I have nine of those games as probable wins. You’re going to drop some, so I think the goal is to go 7-2 in the games here. That leaves 5 games that are toss ups or maybe a slight underdog. If you can win 2 of these, that puts you at 9-5 in the remaining 14 games.
PREDICTION: 21-9 (11-7)
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