Seems to me you have a better chance with the long FG. Medley has the leg, and I assume he'd hit it between 5-10% of the time. Hail Marys are about a 2% chance. That being said, you'd have to discount the possibility of hitting the FG with our odds of winning in OT, which would be roughly 50/50...So on the lower end, that would put it around a 2.5% chance of winning if we would have sent Medley out.
Can't argue with the result, however!
Can't argue with the result, however!