do you just go down the list head to head and guess?
another way?
I look at those games where i think we are above 80% chance to win first.
Akron
Ball State
Vandy
UT Martin.
thats 4 wins
then i look at those we have probably 20% chance or less of winning. Good news is those are getting fewer it seems.
Georgia
Alabama
The rest i categorize as possible wins or losses. Thats the rest of our games or 6 games. If we win half our record is 7-5.
So i conclude we are going 7-5. Worse than that is a disappointment. 8-4 is a solid year. 9-3 we overachieved.
i wish i could be more optimistic about some of the other games but i cant unsee our secondary in the bowl game without Alontae
another way?
I look at those games where i think we are above 80% chance to win first.
Akron
Ball State
Vandy
UT Martin.
thats 4 wins
then i look at those we have probably 20% chance or less of winning. Good news is those are getting fewer it seems.
Georgia
Alabama
The rest i categorize as possible wins or losses. Thats the rest of our games or 6 games. If we win half our record is 7-5.
So i conclude we are going 7-5. Worse than that is a disappointment. 8-4 is a solid year. 9-3 we overachieved.
i wish i could be more optimistic about some of the other games but i cant unsee our secondary in the bowl game without Alontae
