I saw someone make a point that seems obvious, but of course that doesn't mean it's true, which is that the initial viral load is likely a huge determining factor (along with age, pre-existing conditions of course) in severity of cases.
Some speculation that this, among other things, is why Italy has been so bad. The virus spread very quickly early on (potentially from Chinese workers), they locked everyone down (not to mention extended families live together moreso than in the USA), and when you're locked down in close proximity to carriers you have a higher likelihood of getting a larger initial "dose." Much more likely to get a huge droplet from your own bathroom sink than you are from a dirty subway handrail.
Is this plausible?
Some speculation that this, among other things, is why Italy has been so bad. The virus spread very quickly early on (potentially from Chinese workers), they locked everyone down (not to mention extended families live together moreso than in the USA), and when you're locked down in close proximity to carriers you have a higher likelihood of getting a larger initial "dose." Much more likely to get a huge droplet from your own bathroom sink than you are from a dirty subway handrail.
Is this plausible?
