COVID-19 Stats: Death, Ages, Hospitalizations, etc.

AtlantaVol07 · Apr 28, 2020

https://www.outkickthecoverage.com/...ess-deadly-more-common-than-experts-believed/

Interesting post by Clay Travis (above). A lot of this is known, published info, but he puts it together well in one thread. A few of the big numbers that he breaks down regarding COVID-19 (this is not political, and just the factual numbers behind this):

Stanford study of Santa Clara county, which found the infection rate was 50-85x known cases in the SF Bay Area.
USC and LA County joint study, which found that the incidence of the coronavirus was 28-55x the current case number.
A similar study in Boston showed that 32% of participants in Chelsea had coronavirus antibodies. (An additional study of the Boston homeless population found 36% of that population had the coronavirus as well, with all but one of the homeless people being asymptomatic.)
New York City and state tested its population and found 21.2% had antibodies; in Long Island, 16.7%. This would put the rate of infection 10x higher the number currently reported.
University of Miami study shows infection rate in S. Florida is 16x known cases.
With new studies, the numbers are showing that COVID-19's death rate is much closer to the flu (0.1%) than the Spanish Flu (2.6%).

In regards to who's most-impacted, nothing new here, but sometimes it's tough to get that information in today's reporting. Below are numbers he cites in regards to Italy's mortality rate; first number is age range, second number is total deaths:

0-9 years, 0
10-19 years, 0
20-29 years, 0
30-39 years, 2 (0.2%)
40-49 years, 4 (0.4%)
50-59, 24 (2.4%)
60-69, 77 (7.6%)
70-79, 360 (35.4%)
80-89, 438 (43%)
> 90, 96 (9.4%)
Not Report, 16 (1.6%)
97% of deaths in Italy were those 60 years of age of older.

Some other random stats:

Massachusetts data on CV deaths in the state: average age of death 81 years old, and 97.5% had underlying health condition.
Of 10,746 people who have passed in New York (at time of this reporting), only 66 didn't have pre-existing health conditions, meaning 99.4% of mortality rate in New York can be attributed to pre-existing conditions.
According to the city, the following are considered underlying conditions: Diabetes, Lung Disease, Cancer, Immunodeficiency, Heart Disease, Hypertension, Asthma, Kidney Disease, GI/Liver Disease, and Obesity.

In regards to ages of those in New York who have passed:

Four people under the age of 17 have died (0.00037%)
378 people under the age of 44 have died (0.35%)
99.65% of those who have died in New York, the epicenter of the world, are 45 or older. (Note: This does not include those who are asymptomatic or don't test; this isn't the number based on likely population who has had the virus; this is the number of actual confirmed cases.)
New York City was thought to need 140k ventilators/beds, and ultimately peaked at 19k being needed.

Moving forward:

According to New York City, young people (under age 45) have a nearly 0% chance of dying if infected. In Italy, those under the age of 60 represent just 3% of all mortality in the country.
In the U.S., the young make up the bulk of the population; 71% of the country is under the age of 54.
Just 16% of the US population is 65 or older.

He goes onto say what many have also echoed: Take the people who are likely to not be affected -- those 44 years and younger -- and let them help to develop herd immunity in the country. The elderly, or those with pre-existing conditions, will continue to quarantine. This would up the spread now in the healthy, reducing the spread later, and would allow everyone to eventually "de-quarantine" (don't think that's a word, but whatever).

Anyway, thought I'd condense and post. No politics, and just factually based numbers.

swallvol · Apr 28, 2020