These estimates are all based on assumed good health and no other unforeseen setbacks:
Derek Barnett - 85% chance of being a 2016 All-American 1st or 2nd-teamer (note: 10 sacks in 2015, even with a partially-torn MCL)
Jalen Reeves-Maybin - 50% chance of being a 2016 All-American 1st, 2nd, or 3rd-teamer
Cameron Sutton - 60% chance of being a 2016 All-American 1st, 2nd, or 3rd-teamer (as a CB, maybe higher as a PR)
Then, for the capitalized S in the title:
Shy Tuttle - 10% (previously listed as 20%, but the recovery uncertainty has lessened my confidence) chance of being an All-American 1st, 2nd, or 3rd-teamer in 2016; 55% for 2017
Kahlil McKenzie - 30% (previously 20%, but the dominance in spring and Tuttle injury have boosted this) chance of being an All-American 1st, 2nd, or 3rd-teamer; 55% for 2017
Combined chance of the trio of Kyle Phillips, Darrell Taylor, and Jonathan Kongbo - 5-10% chance of 1 of the 3 being an All-American 1st, 2nd, or 3rd-teamer for 2016; 50% chance that 1 of the 3 will be an AA in 2017
Darren Kirkland, Jr. - 30% chance of being an All-American 1st, 2nd, or 3rd-teamer in 2016; 65% chance for 2017
Justin Martin - 5% (previously 15% - downgraded due to "flu") chance of being an All-American 1st, 2nd, or 3rd-teamer
Todd Kelly, Jr. - 5-10% chance of being an All-American 1st, 2nd, or 3rd-teamer
The 2016 defense has a chance to be historically good amongst Volunteer defenses, although I don't expect it to quite be at the level of the unscored upon defense from way, way back.
Derek Barnett - 85% chance of being a 2016 All-American 1st or 2nd-teamer (note: 10 sacks in 2015, even with a partially-torn MCL)
Jalen Reeves-Maybin - 50% chance of being a 2016 All-American 1st, 2nd, or 3rd-teamer
Cameron Sutton - 60% chance of being a 2016 All-American 1st, 2nd, or 3rd-teamer (as a CB, maybe higher as a PR)
Then, for the capitalized S in the title:
Shy Tuttle - 10% (previously listed as 20%, but the recovery uncertainty has lessened my confidence) chance of being an All-American 1st, 2nd, or 3rd-teamer in 2016; 55% for 2017
Kahlil McKenzie - 30% (previously 20%, but the dominance in spring and Tuttle injury have boosted this) chance of being an All-American 1st, 2nd, or 3rd-teamer; 55% for 2017
Combined chance of the trio of Kyle Phillips, Darrell Taylor, and Jonathan Kongbo - 5-10% chance of 1 of the 3 being an All-American 1st, 2nd, or 3rd-teamer for 2016; 50% chance that 1 of the 3 will be an AA in 2017
Darren Kirkland, Jr. - 30% chance of being an All-American 1st, 2nd, or 3rd-teamer in 2016; 65% chance for 2017
Justin Martin - 5% (previously 15% - downgraded due to "flu") chance of being an All-American 1st, 2nd, or 3rd-teamer
Todd Kelly, Jr. - 5-10% chance of being an All-American 1st, 2nd, or 3rd-teamer
The 2016 defense has a chance to be historically good amongst Volunteer defenses, although I don't expect it to quite be at the level of the unscored upon defense from way, way back.
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