According to ESPN Stats & Information, Tennessee's chances to win was 0.23 percent after Georgia kicked an extra point to go up 31-28 with 10 seconds left. Based on win probability, Tennessee's comeback was the fourth-most improbable win by a Power 5 school in the past 10 seasons. Before the Hail Mary, Tennessee had a 1.7 percent chance to win, meaning that one play was worth 98.3 percent points in win probability.