New projections released Monday morning by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluations forecasts that the peak in COVID-19 cases and deaths will happen on April 15, four days earlier than projected.
More importantly and dramatically, the updated model suggests that the number of deaths caused by the novel coronavirus will not exceed 600 statewide.
On April 2, the model suggested Tennessee would see more than 3,000 deaths.
The model also suggests that the number of hospital beds, ICU beds and ventilators needed to handle COVID-19 cases will not exceed the number already in place.
Not by a longshot.
The model suggests that the state will need 1,232 hospital beds to handle coronavirus cases. The state has 7,812 beds. Late last week, the model was projecting a need for 15,000 beds statewide.
It suggests the state will need 245 ICU beds, and it already has 629, and only 208 ventilators.
On April 2, the model predicted that the number of hospital beds, ICU beds and ventilators needed statewide to treat local COVID-19 patients would exceed the number available by this Thursday, April 9.
The updated model — for the first time — “assumes full social distancing through May 20, 2020.”
------------------Daily Memphian (BTW..Ma highly recommends this online newspaper)
https://dailymemphian.com/section/c..._medium=email&utm_campaign=article_2020-04-06
Stay safe
God Bless
Ma
More importantly and dramatically, the updated model suggests that the number of deaths caused by the novel coronavirus will not exceed 600 statewide.
On April 2, the model suggested Tennessee would see more than 3,000 deaths.
The model also suggests that the number of hospital beds, ICU beds and ventilators needed to handle COVID-19 cases will not exceed the number already in place.
Not by a longshot.
The model suggests that the state will need 1,232 hospital beds to handle coronavirus cases. The state has 7,812 beds. Late last week, the model was projecting a need for 15,000 beds statewide.
It suggests the state will need 245 ICU beds, and it already has 629, and only 208 ventilators.
On April 2, the model predicted that the number of hospital beds, ICU beds and ventilators needed statewide to treat local COVID-19 patients would exceed the number available by this Thursday, April 9.
The updated model — for the first time — “assumes full social distancing through May 20, 2020.”
------------------Daily Memphian (BTW..Ma highly recommends this online newspaper)
https://dailymemphian.com/section/c..._medium=email&utm_campaign=article_2020-04-06
Stay safe
God Bless
Ma
