Just posted this, figured it would be of interest:
"This is a summary of research data that will be published in the next week or two that is coming out of Spain. From my understanding the data was from almost every person is Spain that tested positive. The data was then checked against available data from Italy, China, Japan, and South Korea. So it appears this paper will likely have the largest amount of data yet from COVID 19 infections. What the study shows is that people are contagious before the onset of clinical symptoms appear regardless of how sick they will get. It also appears the more serious your illness, the longer you will be contagious. The GOOD from this study is that only a small percentage with the virus will die. The bad is that 70% of those infected will continue to be contagious for 20 days or more, and that asymptomatic people can carry and spread this virus for up to 14 days.
I can't answer much more questions as this was the data I have been given. The study ends at day 25.
These are from positive COVID testing only.
30%- No symptoms
-Days 0-5: May become Contagious with as little as 3 hrs after becoming infected. Will not show any symptoms during the first 5 days. Will become immune to the virus around day 6. Majority will continue to be contagious (shedding of the virus) for up to 14 days from Day 0. No deaths noted in this group
55%- Mild/Moderate symptoms
-Days 0-5: May become Contagious with as little as 3 hrs after becoming infected. Usually will not show any symptoms during the first 5 days.
-Days 5-10: Mild/Moderate Symptoms. Will become immune to the virus around day 10-11. Majority will continue to be contagious (shedding of the virus) for up to 21 days from Day 0. No deaths noted in this group.
10%-Severe Symptoms
-Days 0-5: May become Contagious with as little as 3 hrs after becoming infected. Usually will not show any symptoms during the first 5 days.
-Days 5-9: Severe Symptoms
-Days 9-20: Hospitalization. Will become immune to the virus around day 20. Will continue to be contagious to 25 days (unsure if continued to be contagious as this is where the study ends). Appears they are going to continue to follow patients in Spain. 15% mortality in this group.
5%- Critical Symptoms.
-Days 0-5: May become Contagious with as little as 3 hrs after becoming infected. Usually will not show any symptoms during the first 5 days.
-Days 5-8: Severe Symptoms
-Days 8-21: ICU/Ventilation-Some will die during this time
-Days 21-25: By day 21-25 47% will be dead. only a few have come off ventilation and when they do they are immune. Majority on ventilation continue to test positive for COVID.
47% death rate in people within 25 days with critical symptoms is similar to data coming out of New York."
"This is a summary of research data that will be published in the next week or two that is coming out of Spain. From my understanding the data was from almost every person is Spain that tested positive. The data was then checked against available data from Italy, China, Japan, and South Korea. So it appears this paper will likely have the largest amount of data yet from COVID 19 infections. What the study shows is that people are contagious before the onset of clinical symptoms appear regardless of how sick they will get. It also appears the more serious your illness, the longer you will be contagious. The GOOD from this study is that only a small percentage with the virus will die. The bad is that 70% of those infected will continue to be contagious for 20 days or more, and that asymptomatic people can carry and spread this virus for up to 14 days.
I can't answer much more questions as this was the data I have been given. The study ends at day 25.
These are from positive COVID testing only.
30%- No symptoms
-Days 0-5: May become Contagious with as little as 3 hrs after becoming infected. Will not show any symptoms during the first 5 days. Will become immune to the virus around day 6. Majority will continue to be contagious (shedding of the virus) for up to 14 days from Day 0. No deaths noted in this group
55%- Mild/Moderate symptoms
-Days 0-5: May become Contagious with as little as 3 hrs after becoming infected. Usually will not show any symptoms during the first 5 days.
-Days 5-10: Mild/Moderate Symptoms. Will become immune to the virus around day 10-11. Majority will continue to be contagious (shedding of the virus) for up to 21 days from Day 0. No deaths noted in this group.
10%-Severe Symptoms
-Days 0-5: May become Contagious with as little as 3 hrs after becoming infected. Usually will not show any symptoms during the first 5 days.
-Days 5-9: Severe Symptoms
-Days 9-20: Hospitalization. Will become immune to the virus around day 20. Will continue to be contagious to 25 days (unsure if continued to be contagious as this is where the study ends). Appears they are going to continue to follow patients in Spain. 15% mortality in this group.
5%- Critical Symptoms.
-Days 0-5: May become Contagious with as little as 3 hrs after becoming infected. Usually will not show any symptoms during the first 5 days.
-Days 5-8: Severe Symptoms
-Days 8-21: ICU/Ventilation-Some will die during this time
-Days 21-25: By day 21-25 47% will be dead. only a few have come off ventilation and when they do they are immune. Majority on ventilation continue to test positive for COVID.
47% death rate in people within 25 days with critical symptoms is similar to data coming out of New York."
